Forecasters Predict 16 Named Storms this Hurricane Season

Floridians taking hurricane prep more seriously, AAA says

Floridians taking hurricane prep more seriously, AAA says

One way could be through improvements in forecasting from the National Hurricane Center.

"It doesn't matter how many storms there are in a given year".

Two seasons, 1992 and 2010, are often referenced. Typically, storms that form away from the United States head out to sea.

County Commissioner Brian Hamman said that residents should have a plan to stay with friends or family in a safe area, treating emergency shelters as a last resort because they do not have the comforts many people expect.

Priorities for most people remain ensuring access to fuel and transportation, following a massive and chaotic evacuation during Irma that left residents scrambling for fuel and clogging Florida's highways.

Much of the prediction is based on the fact that the last twenty years have been some of the most active storm seasons in recent history. NOAA states that the current activity began in 1995. "Or, a 5 percent chance of occurring in any given year", said Mathieu Gerbush, the New Jersey assistant state climatologist.

The county is also working to train with other emergency agencies more frequently and working with statewide partners to help speed the recovery of critical services like power and gasoline after a storm, according to Mayfield.

Global Weather Oscillations Inc.

Hurricane Harvey became the most extreme example of the threat that inland flooding presents when it dumped unprecedented amounts of rain (up to 60 inches) in and around the Houston area after making landfall along the Texas coast in late August. The magenta colored rectangles highlight the "Main Development Region" (MDR) which is where the majority of tropical storms and hurricanes develop.

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Four of those are predicted to be major. It relies on weather cycles.

While forecasters are more adept at predicting where a storm is headed than ever before, they are not yet as skilled at predicting how strong it is going to become. He believes that there will be eight hurricanes and four of those will be major hurricanes.

The storm made landfall along the Florida Panhandle and was linked to the death of two journalists for WYFF-TV in Greenville, South Carolina. Dilley said there was a very active hurricane period from 1871-1901 and again from 1931-1951. And early predictions suggest preparing for what's ahead will be important. It covers the Atlantic basin, which includes the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico.

"It could be another wind event (for Ocala and Gainesville) like it was during Irma", Dilley said during a Wednesday morning briefing.

This year, another familiar name will not be part of the group: Sandy.

"We issue these forecasts to satisfy the curiosity of the general public and to bring attention to the hurricane problem", the university said. The list is an indication that storms are likely to climb the Atlantic into the Northeast.

The researchers, Philip Klotzbach and Michael Bell, also estimated a 51 percent chance that a major hurricane will make landfall somewhere in the USA, slightly below the 52 percent average chance through the last century. When it lies closer to the mainland, tropical systems can be steered into the Mid Atlantic.

Preparation is the spice of life when it comes to hurricanes.

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